The Weather Prediction Center has increased the risk of flooding across SE Texas for this afternoon to a level 2/4 (it was a level 1/4 this morning). This does not change our forecast. We’re still looking for 1-2″ widespread with heavier totals of 3-5″ possible for isolated spots. Highest totals are expected south of I-10.
Current Forecast:
The Storm Tracker 2 radar shows rain and thunderstorm activity entering the northern parts of the area, including College Station, Huntsville, and Livingston, during the first half of the afternoon.
Track the radar here:
Cold front timing:
Brazos Valley/Northern Counties: 11 a.m. - 2 p.m.
We’ll start to see a line of broken storms as the front pulls away from the I-20 corridor, and enter the northern counties and the Brazos Valley around lunchtime.
Houston Metro: 2 p.m. - 6 p.m.
This is where the forecast may get a little tricky. The leading edge of the front is expected to hit the Houston metro around 3 p.m. to 4 p.m. This could also be the time when the sea breeze storms that will be pulled in ahead of the front arrive at the same time.
If that’s the case, we could see a potential for storms slamming into one another across Houston. That could cause them to slow down, which would lead to the potential for some heavy downpours and isolated street flooding.
While the threat is low, it is still there. Rainfall totals appear to be ranging from 1-2 inches but those numbers could go higher if storms are blocked from moving.
Coastal counties: Wednesday evening:
The front should start to pick up speed as it approaches the coast. Storms could be packing 30-40 mph wind gusts and heavy rain as it moves down to the coast by midnight or 1 a.m. Thursday. Once the front is offshore, we’ll see some slightly cooler air and drier forecast for Friday and the weekend!
Nicer weather coming!
The benefit will be that the humidity levels will be significantly lower by Friday, leading to a pleasant feeling weekend overall.
Tropical outlook:
Powerful Hurricane Gabrielle is headed out into the north Atlantic. The storm brought some likely storm damage to the island of Bermuda but that will be the only interaction with land as it heads back out into the north Atlantic.
There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic gaining organization and will likely become our next one or two named storms, Humberto and Imelda. Both storms could make a run at the Eastern US coastline, but still plenty of time to watch them but at this time, they do not appear to be a threat to the Gulf Coast.
Make sure your family is prepared for whatever comes our way this hurricane season. You can check out our 2025 Hurricane and Flood Survival Guide here.
Your extended forecast:
The cool front Wednesday night lowers temperatures into the 80s Thursday and Friday. Mornings fall to the upper 60s Friday and Saturday. It will feel great with lower humidity those two days. The humidity starts to climb next weekend.
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