September 10th, historically hurricane season’s peak day stays calm in 2025, here’s why

Storm development typically peaks September 10th. However, 2025 is seeing the exact opposite.

The Atlantic Basin’s tropical activity is below average! No one is complaining, but maybe you are wondering why?

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September 10th marks the peak of hurricane season, but this year it looks different because there are no named storms in the Atlantic basin.

Peaks September 10th

This lull is a rare occurrence—from August 28th to September 10th, there have been NO tropical storms or hurricanes in the Atlantic. This makes 2025 the third time this stretch of two weeks has not seen a named storm.

No named storms on the peak day of Hurricane Season is rare

The Atlantic Basin is experiencing lower moisture than usual, with more pockets of drier air and Saharan dust. Dry air shuts down development because moisture is needed to feed storms.

Saharan dust and dry air continue to pulse through the Atlantic limiting storm development.

Another factor is high wind shear, which is the change in wind speed and direction. When wind shear is high, thunderstorms trying to form into tropical systems are ripped apart or pushed away from a low-pressure system’s center, making tropical development difficult.

Anywhere in red is where we have high wind shear. This covers most of the Atlantic and even portions of the Gulf.

However, stay alert as a new tropical wave is forecasted to move off the coast of Africa later this week. This wave currently has a low chance of development over the next 7 days.

A low chance for a new tropical wave to develop over the next 7 days.

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