Tropical moisture increases rain chances this weekend for Houston

Otherwise it’s still hot and humid - it’s mid-August after all

Class will be in session for many students this week, and with another round of storms expected across our area, it’s a good idea to keep an umbrella close by.

This Afternoon’s Timeline:

Afternoon storm coverage will be similar to the past few days. Many areas will see highs in the mid-90s, feeling like the low 100s, but there is still a chance for isolated showers and storms that can bring brief, heavy downpours. The heaviest rain is most likely between 12 PM and 5 PM, so plan around that if you’re picking up kids or running errands.

Tuesday afternoon storms (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Thursday’s Forecast:

Thursday will be another day with morning showers and afternoon storms. Some storms could produce heavy rain in a short period, so be ready for sudden puddles and slick roads. Otherwise it’s hot and humid.

Thursday's Highs

Weekend Forecast:

This pattern will continue through the next few days and into the weekend as extra tropical moisture drifts into Texas from a weak surface low east of Louisiana.

Tropical Outlook

Keep an eye on Friday and Saturday forecasts, especially for outdoor plans and the Texans home opener. Tailgating could be stormy at times, so have some rain gear if you’re setting up in the lots at NRG Stadium!

Tropical moisture moving into the coast by the end of the week (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Tracking the tropics, tracking the Gulf:

The 5th named storm has formed in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Erin.

Erin is forecast to become a hurricane midweek and rapidly intensify over the weekend into a Category 3 hurricane, which would be our first hurricane of the season.

Tropical Storm Erin path (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Right now, the model consensus is that the storm will take a northerly turn away from the Caribbean by the weekend. However, there is still uncertainty about whether this will approach the U.S. or stay in the Atlantic.

Two things that will determine if the storm moves more east or northwest are the Bermuda High and an upper-level trough that will set up across the east coast of the United States.

Steering currents for Tropical Storm Erin (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

If the trough is strong enough, the storm system will have a great chance to get pushed away from the East Coast.

Moves west and then will take a northly turn

Erin is not expected to impact the Gulf Coast at this time. However, we’ll still watch the cluster of storms around the disorganized low sitting just east of Louisiana.

Make sure your family is prepared for whatever comes our way this hurricane season. You can check out our 2025 Hurricane and Flood Survival Guide here.

Your extended forecast:

Daily showers and storm chances continue through the end of the week. Watch for brief downpours and stay hydrated as feels-like temperatures will reach the triple digits.

10 Day Forecast

If you notice interesting weather in your neighborhood, share your photos and videos with KPRC 2 at Click2Pins!


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