Hit and miss storms after school on Monday evening

Class will be in session for many students this week!

Back-to-School Forecast:

The daily rain chances continue through the first week of school. Since most days won’t be a complete washout, still gear up for high heat and humidity.

The Houston area can expect highs reaching the mid-90s, with humidity driving the heat index up to a steamy 106 degrees.

Daily storm and shower chances

Plenty of dry time on Monday evening’s commute but there is still a chance for spotty showers and storms across SE Texas.

Storms are hit and miss Monday evening

Track our radar below:

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Tuesday storm timeline:

As you head to the bus stop, you might run into some showers and storms Tuesday morning. The best chance in southern Harris county and southeast of I-10.

Storms develop south of I-10

Afternoon storm coverage decreases, but there is still a chance for hit-and-miss showers and storms that can bring a brief downpour.

Plenty of dry time with hit and miss storms

On Tuesday evening, watch for storm development across Brenham and College Station as a weak boundary brings a chance for storms. Otherwise, pop-up storms continue to build and die across the rest of SE Texas.

A weak boundary tries to approach communities west of Houston, otherwise pop up showers and storms continue

Tracking the tropics, tracking the Gulf:

The 5th named storm has formed in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Erin. Erin will become a hurricane midweek and rapidly intensify over the weekend into a category 3 hurricane.

Erin Tropical Track

Right now, the model consensus is that the storm will take a northerly turn away from the Caribbean. However, there is still uncertainty about whether this will approach the U.S. or stay in the Atlantic. Two things that will determine if the storm moves more east or northwest are the Bermuda High and an upper-level trough that will set up across the east coast of the United States. If the trough is strong enough, the storm system will have a great chance to get pushed away from the East Coast.

Moves west and then will take a northly turn

Erin is not expected to impact the Gulf Coast at this time. However, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring a large area of unorganized thunderstorms in the Gulf that could move inland and increase rain chances.

Low chances for development

Make sure your family is prepared for whatever comes our way this hurricane season. You can check out our 2025 Hurricane and Flood Survival Guide here.

Your extended forecast:

Daily showers and storm chances continue through the end of the week. Watch for brief downpours and stay hydrated as feels-like temperatures will reach the triple digits.

Daily storm chances

If you notice interesting weather in your neighborhood, share your photos and videos with KPRC 2 at Click2Pins!


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