Two things happened on Tuesday. Houston reached its first 100° day of the year, and the tropical rain expected at the end of the week has a 10% chance it moves in as a tropical depression or tropical storm.
Wednesday and Thursday’s Forecast:
Before the rain arrives, we’ll be dealing with more triple digit heat. High pressure will dominate our weather pattern through Thursday. Not only could we hit 100° three days in a row, Houston has a chance to break record highs from 2018 and 1954.
While Houston isn’t under a heat advisory, some of the hottest weather will impact areas just to the east and northeast, including Lufkin, Beaumont and Port Arthur. In Houston, the heat index should reach 104 to 106 degrees—so even without an official advisory, it’s important to stay cool and hydrated.
Tracking the tropics, tracking the Gulf:
As Yogi Berra once said, “It’s déjà vu all over again.”
The tropical disturbance we were tracking last week is making a comeback. Over the weekend, the rain from what was known as Invest 93L moved into the Midwest. Tuesday, it drifted over the Atlantic near Georgia. And tomorrow, Wednesday, it’s heading back into the Gulf, almost exactly where it was last week!
But just like before, it probably won’t develop. If there’s a low-pressure center, it may end up over land again, and without that center over water, a tropical depression or storm can’t form.
Yogi Berra may have also said, “Never say never.” And while I can’t confirm he actually did, it kind of fits here.
This system does have a small chance of developing, 10%. But that’s not the headline. What matters more is the rain. Tropical moisture could bring downpours heavy enough on Friday to cause street flooding in parts of southeast Texas.
We’ll be keeping a close eye on it and will keep you updated.
Make sure your family is prepared for whatever comes our way this hurricane season. You can check out our 2025 Hurricane and Flood Survival Guide here.
Your extended forecast:
Highs in the upper 90s and muggy lows in the upper 70s to 80 degrees are sticking around all week. There’s no serious shift in the heat until those late-week rain chances, so be sure to take care during these intense afternoons.
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