The Gulf Coast dodged a bullet, but that same moisture may circle back to the Gulf late next week

There is a chance that we could see the same moisture bring rain next week

What Goes Around, Comes Around

This week, residents across the Gulf Coast found themselves glued to weather forecasts as a tropical disturbance glided westward along the coastline, bringing uncertainty and the potential for significant impacts.

While the system thankfully never organized into a named storm, it delivered widespread rainfall across Louisiana before moving inland.

Louisiana

Where Does the Moisture Go Next?

The story doesn’t end with the disturbance’s move inland. Atmospheric moisture doesn’t just disappear—instead, it gets redistributed by larger weather patterns.

In this case, the moisture from the recent disturbance will be captured by the jet stream, where it will encounter a front that’s forecast to stall across the southeastern coastline.

The moisture associated with the tropical disturbance that dumped rain in Louisiana has the chance to return to the Gulf.

The interaction between the remnant moisture, warm Gulf waters and the stalling front presents another opportunity for low-pressure development next week. This scenario could once again increase rainfall chances along the Gulf Coast, extending all the way through southeast Texas.

Tropical moisture from the disturbance continues to move inland this weekend
Old tropical moisture combines with a new moisture source next week

The critical question we are monitoring is whether this reorganizing system will develop enough to earn the next name on the Atlantic hurricane list: Dexter.

While the setup for potential development exists, it’s still too far out to make definitive predictions.


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