Texas Hill Country floodwaters are heading to the Gulf. Will downstream areas need to worry about flooding?

Feet of water are starting to move down the rivers to the Gulf, concerned citizens watch river levels carefully for signs of potential flooding.

Current river levels for mid-week (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Billions of gallons of water have fallen over the last week across the Texas Hill Country, producing devastating floods and enormous loss of life. As the flood water recedes in these areas, a frequent question to the KPRC2 Weather Team is, “Where is all this water going to go?”

Water --> Gravity -->> Gulf:

A steadfast rule of science is that water knows one thing: gravity. Any flow of water will always work to find the lowest point, i.e., flow downstream. For most of Texas, that means inland streams and rivers that flow back down to the Gulf.

Guadalupe River at Comal (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Thankfully, the Guadalupe River has fallen back into its banks and is expected to stay below flood stage as clean-up efforts continue. Now, we pivot to all those billions of gallons of water start to use gravity to move downstream towards the Gulf.

Current river levels for mid-week (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

The one area that we’ll be watching is down across parts of Victoria along the Guadalupe over the next 24 hours. The river gauge near Bloomington will briefly go into minor flood stage early Thursday but should fall back into the bank as the bump of flood water moves south into Matagorda Bay.

Flood conditions along the Guadalupe (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Thankfully, no other river gauges or sections are expected to go under flood conditions for the remainder of the week.

You can always check the river levels in your area if you want, for free, by accessing the National Weather Service site.


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