Areas to watch in the Eastern Gulf, how they will affect Houston?

NHC has a 20% chance of development over area of thunderstorms in Eastern Gulf.

Watching the tropics

HOUSTON – Over the past week, we’ve seen a small uptick in tropical activity with Tropical Storm Andrea, which formed last Tuesday, and Tropical Storm Barry, which formed over the weekend.

Tracking the Tropics

Now, over the next seven days, another area in the Eastern Gulf has a slight chance of development.

20% chance of frontal boundary becoming a depression or storm

What we are watching

A frontal boundary off the coast of the Florida panhandle is expected to stall out over the next few days.

2025 Atlantic hurricane season names

As it continues to stall, a low-pressure system may slowly begin to form and develop subtropical to tropical characteristics over the next week. If the system develops, it would become Tropical Storm Chantal.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a frontal boundary

How will this affect Houston?

In short, this system isn’t expected to affect Houston.

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As it continues to drift to the east, parts of the southeast could expect to see heavy rain with totals ranging 1-4 inches, with isolated totals up to 6 inches in spots.

We will continue to watch this system over the next few days and give you updates.

Future track showing little organization by Tuesday

What’s next for hurricane season?

As we enter July, Saharan dust is expected to increase across the Atlantic and Gulf, inhibiting the formation of storms.

However, though we are entering the “quiet” period of hurricane season, we have seen storms form during this time, including Hurricane Beryl last year, which left millions without power.

We will continue to watch the tropics and provide updates throughout the season.

Chantal would be the next on the list

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