The Eastern Pacific hurricane season started on May 15, and two weeks later, we now have the first named storm, Tropical Storm Alvin.
T.S. Alvin is not directly impacting land, but its track eventually takes it close to the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula on Saturday, as it moves north and weakens into a depression on Saturday evening, eventually weakening to a low.
Although Alvin’s core is out over the water, its outer bands will bring rain and thunderstorms across the Western coast of Mexico. Right now, there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Alvin’s current position is great for strengthening due to the warm waters, but as it moves to the north, cooler water temperatures touch the storm.
Another weakening factor is wind shear, which occurs when wind at different levels in the atmosphere blows in different directions and speeds. When wind shear is high, it helps tear tropical development apart.
A reminder that the Atlantic Hurricane Season starts on June 1 and NOAA forecasters are expecting an above average season.
There is no current storm development in the Atlantic Basin outside of typical daily showers and storms across the Caribbean.
