Houston waits for fall as hot, dry weather sticks around for the weekend

No fall feels for the first weekend of October

Houston is still waiting for cooler fall weather as hot and dry conditions stick around across the city.

The city is feeling the heat, and humidity is on the rise as we move toward the weekend.

Rain chances bump up just a bit—20 percent—for both Friday and Saturday, thanks to moisture sliding in from the east. That means a possible sprinkle or two late in the day, mainly around 5 or 6 p.m.

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RELATED: When will the first “real” cold front arrive in Houston?

Pollen problems:

We’re also watching an increase in fall allergies, so if you suffer from ragweed pollen, for example, the next few days could still be challenging, despite the beautiful weather outside.

Houston's Pollen Forecast

If you suffer from allergies or respiratory issues, poor air quality coupled with either condition could make symptoms worse.

Poor AQ can make allergies worse (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Fire risk:

As we move toward October, there might be a slight uptick in dew point temperatures as some coastal moisture builds in, leading to the chance of a few hit-and-miss showers late next week. For now, though, most days should remain dry with highs sitting in the upper 80s and low 90s, putting us at a higher fire risk.

Your weather team is tracking fire danger thanks to the warmer weather and low humidity. (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Weekend changes:

As we round into the weekend forecast, we’ll start to see a little more humidity and a small chance for rain moves back in.

Sunday moisture push (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Nothing too serious, however, a weak Gulf disturbance does look to bring in some more widespread rain chances on Sunday and Monday mainly east of SE Texas.

Muggy meter on the rise and that could mean more coastal rain chances this weekend

If you are headed to gulf facing beaches this weekend keep in mind there is a rip current risk because of the persistent and strong easterly wind.

Through Saturday Night

Tropical outlook:

We’re watching a stalled boundary to potentially form a low pressure system over the coming days. It will continue to track NW into the Gulf where it will help increase rain chances. However, the best moisture maybe focused east of SE Texas through the weekend.

An area of low pressure may form and push NW into the Gulf into the coming week

Make sure your family is prepared for whatever comes our way this hurricane season. You can check out our 2025 Hurricane and Flood Survival Guide here.

Your extended forecast:

Mornings fall to the upper 60s through Monday morning. It will feel great with lower humidity, enjoy it because humidity starts to climb next weekend.

Daily hit and miss showers

If you notice interesting weather in your neighborhood, share your photos and videos with KPRC 2 at Click2Pins!


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