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It’s Fall! But it won’t feel like it. However, changes could be coming next week.

A pattern change could bring rain chances and a slight cool down next week.

While the bright and sunny days of the summer season might not be fully behind us just yet, it’s almost time for the fall. (Canva)

Tuesday overnight:

Most of us missed out on the rain Tuesday afternoon and evening, as showers and pop storms strayed around our central counties. The continued model trend also decreases activity for Wednesday, but does maintain a few stray pop-ups.

Following the weak frontal boundary, some slightly drier air will infiltrate the region Thursday!

The coverage will be very isolated.
Thursday dewpoints (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Tracking the tropics:

Storm development chances in the Gulf are still very slim, however, we now have Tropical Storm Fay, recently formed in the north-central Atlantic. Fay is a fish storm and will remain out in the open Atlantic.

Tropical Storm Fay (Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

So far this hurricane season, we have not had a hurricane form in the Atlantic basin. The latest first hurricane to form was Gustav and Humberto, which formed on September 11th. This means our 2026 hurricane season set a record for the latest hurricane to form.

We are on pace for latest first hurricane to form (Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Extended forecast:

There is no big cool down in the forecast. There are periods of dry air, but highs are in the 90s for the next 10-days. No significant cool down is on the map for now. Long-range models do want to bring a stronger push of cooler air (maybe our first real fall front? by the first few days of October), but nothing definitive at this time.

Warmth, before a possible change next week!